CONCACAF Nations League · League A - 2
Martinique1–1El Salvador
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- Stade Pierre-Aliker
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 3′
- 56′
Cards
- 9′Mauricio CerritosYellow CardEl SalvadorFoul
- 28′Jonathan VaraneYellow CardMartiniqueArgument
- 28′Christian MartínezYellow CardEl SalvadorArgument
- 28′Jefferson ValladaresYellow CardEl SalvadorArgument
- 45′Rafael TejadaYellow CardEl SalvadorFoul
- 49′Boris MoltenisYellow CardMartiniqueFoul
- 70′Marcelo DíazYellow CardEl SalvadorFoul
- 90+3′Cristian GilYellow CardEl Salvador
Events updated
Lineups
Martinique
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Collat
Starting XI
- 23E. VermignonG
- 2J. MoutachyD
- 5B. MoltenisD
- 4H. VoyerD
- 19Y. LelinD
- 18J. VaraneM
- 13C. JougonM
- 8K. AppinM
- 7L. BlasM
- 9J. AntisteM
- 10B. LabeauF
Substitutes
El Salvador
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Hernan Gomez
Starting XI
- 1M. GonzalezG
- 15J. ValladaresD
- 2J. SibrianD
- 4J. Cruz
- 6A. Henriquez
- 12M. DiazM
- 20M. CerritosM
- 14C. Martinez
- 19R. Tejada
- 9B. GilF
- 7L. S. Vasquez VelasquezF
Substitutes
- 22B. VillalobosG
- 18K. CarabantesG
- 16H. RomeroD
- 3E. D. Claros LopezD
- 17J. HenriquezM
- 8H. OsorioM
- 23D. OrtezM
- 5V. GarciaM
- 21M. GilM
- 10N. OrdazF
- 13D. CerrosM
- 11C. GilF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Martinique vs El Salvador: match review and analysis
Martinique vs El Salvador in CONCACAF Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Martinique recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 15. El Salvador recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Martinique | El Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Martinique: (0.79 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
El Salvador: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Martinique recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HondurasCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SurinameCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| El SalvadorCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| El SalvadorCONCACAF Series | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CubaCONCACAF Series | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| JamaicaFriendlies | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dominican RepublicCONCACAF Series | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CubaCONCACAF Series | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SurinameCONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SurinameCONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Martinique’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
El Salvador recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JamaicaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GuatemalaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| MartiniqueCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Club TijuanaFriendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Los Angeles FCFriendlies | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Los Angeles GalaxyFriendlies | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| QatarFriendlies | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| South KoreaFriendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MartiniqueCONCACAF Series | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dominican RepublicCONCACAF Series | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from El Salvador’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.