Super League · Regular Season - 24
Mash'alvsOlmaliq
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- Bahrom Vafoev Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Mash'al vs Olmaliq: match review and analysis
Mash'al vs Olmaliq in Super League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mash'al recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 25. Olmaliq recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mash'al | Olmaliq |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 25 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mash'al: (0.49 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Olmaliq: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 2.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mash'al recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kokand-1912Super League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PakhtakorSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LokomotivSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| NavbahorSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AndijanSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QizilqumSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| XorazmSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OlmaliqSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mash'al’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Olmaliq recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NavbahorSuper League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| XorazmCup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PakhtakorSuper League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| XorazmSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SurkhonSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BuxoroSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BunyodkorSuper League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| NasafSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Olmaliq’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Olmaliq are ranked 7 in Super League, with 36 points from 23 games.
Mash'al are ranked 16 in Super League, with 4 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Neftchi | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 38 |
| 5 | Nasaf | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
| 7 | Olmaliq | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarqand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand-1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 47 | -36 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.