Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 7
Mashujaa2–1Polisi Tanzania
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligi kuu Bara
- Venue
- Lake Tanganyika Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mashujaa vs Polisi Tanzania: match review and analysis
Mashujaa vs Polisi Tanzania in Ligi kuu Bara on 8 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mashujaa recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Polisi Tanzania recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 20 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mashujaa | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mashujaa: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Polisi Tanzania: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mashujaa recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kagera SugarLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mbeya CityLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KMCLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Fountain GateLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AzamLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mashujaa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Polisi Tanzania recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya CityLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| JKT TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AzamLigi kuu Bara | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu Bara | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Mbeya KwanzaLigi kuu Bara | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Mbeya KwanzaLigi kuu Bara | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Polisi Tanzania’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligi kuu Bara — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mashujaa are ranked 4 in Ligi kuu Bara, with 12 points from 7 games.
Polisi Tanzania are ranked 7 in Ligi kuu Bara, with 10 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Geita Gold | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Tabora United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Namungo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 |
| 16 | Pamba Jiji | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.