Primera Division · Apertura - 12
MatagalpavsWalter Ferretti
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti: match review and analysis
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti in Primera Division on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Matagalpa recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 20. Walter Ferretti recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 18 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Matagalpa | Walter Ferretti |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Matagalpa: (0.53 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Walter Ferretti: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 2.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Matagalpa recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real EstelíPrimera Division | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| DiriangénPrimera Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| UNAN ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rancho SantanaPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JalapaPrimera Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| San MarcosPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Walter FerrettiPrimera Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Real EstelíPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| H&H ExportPrimera Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Matagalpa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Walter Ferretti recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DiriangénPrimera Division | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| JalapaPrimera Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| H&H ExportPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San MarcosPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UNAN ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rancho SantanaPrimera Division | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real EstelíPrimera Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| MatagalpaPrimera Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| DiriangénPrimera Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Walter Ferretti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Walter Ferretti are ranked 6 in Apertura, with 11 points from 11 games.
Matagalpa are ranked 8 in Apertura, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29 |
| 2 | Diriangén | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Real Estelí | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | UNAN Managua | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | H&H Export | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 6 | Walter Ferretti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | San Marcos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Matagalpa | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 9 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 6 |
| 10 | Jalapa | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.