FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FKF Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mathare United vs APS Bomet: match review and analysis
Mathare United vs APS Bomet in FKF Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mathare United recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 12. APS Bomet recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 13 scored and 2 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mathare United | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 2 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mathare United: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 0.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
APS Bomet: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mathare United recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BandariFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ulinzi StarsFKF Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mara SugarFKF Premier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| APS BometFKF Premier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SofapakaFKF Premier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bidco UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PoliceFKF Premier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HomeboyzFKF Premier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Murang'a SEALFKF Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mathare United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
APS Bomet recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuskerFKF Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AFC LeopardsFKF Premier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BandariFKF Premier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mathare UnitedFKF Premier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| KCBFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SofapakaFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Posta Rangers FCFKF Premier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ulinzi StarsFKF Premier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mara SugarFKF Premier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from APS Bomet’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FKF Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mathare United are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
APS Bomet are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.