J-League Cup · Round of 32
Matsumoto YamagavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J-League Cup
- Venue
- Sunpro Alwin
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: match review and analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J-League Cup on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Matsumoto Yamaga recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Sanfrecce Hiroshima recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 25 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Matsumoto Yamaga | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Matsumoto Yamaga: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 0.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: (2.35 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Matsumoto Yamaga recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gainare TottoriJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Albirex NiigataJ-League Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi SCJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SagamiharaJ3 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Shonan BellmareJ-League Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| OsakaJ3 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ehime FCJ3 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Matsumoto Yamaga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sanfrecce Hiroshima recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| IwakiEmperor Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityJ-League Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Avispa FukuokaJ1 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cerezo OsakaJ1 League | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Nagoya GrampusJ1 League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Okinawa SVEmperor Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J-League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.