Premier League · Regular Season - 3
Mbabane SwallowsvsMadlenya
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mbabane Swallows vs Madlenya: match review and analysis
Mbabane Swallows vs Madlenya in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Mbabane Swallows recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Madlenya recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mbabane Swallows | Madlenya |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mbabane Swallows: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Madlenya: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mbabane Swallows recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ubombo SugarPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SisonkhePremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Moneni PiratesPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HighlandersPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Manzini Sea BirdsPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Young BuffaloesPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Manzini WanderersPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ezulwini UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AmawelePremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Malanti ChiefsPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mbabane Swallows’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Madlenya recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPK ProfessionalsPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TabankuluPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MagwanyanaPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AmawelePremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Viva StumboPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Young BuffaloesPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sidwashini UnitedPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Royal LeopardsPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Ezulwini UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Green MambaPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Madlenya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Madlenya are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 2 points from 2 games.
Mbabane Swallows are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ubombo Sugar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Highlanders | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Royal Leopards | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | PPK Professionals | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Green Mamba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Ezulwini United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Moneni Pirates | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Young Buffaloes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Nsingizini Hotspurs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Rangers FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Amawele | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Madlenya | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Manzini Sea Birds | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Tabankulu | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Mbabane Swallows | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Red Rhinos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.