Premier League · Regular Season - 6
Mbarara CityvsBlacks Power
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Rwamwanja stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mbarara City vs Blacks Power: match review and analysis
Mbarara City vs Blacks Power in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mbarara City recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Blacks Power recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mbarara City | Blacks Power |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mbarara City: (0.61 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Blacks Power: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mbarara City recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NtugasazePremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NECPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PolicePremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KCCAPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Buhimba SaintsPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LugaziPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ExpressPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NECPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mbarara City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Blacks Power recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VipersPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BULPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MaroonsPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PolicePremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NtugasazePremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ExpressPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OnduparakaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GaddafiPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| URAPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Blacks Power’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Blacks Power are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 5 games.
Mbarara City are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 2 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | KCCA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | URA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.