Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Mebrat HaylvsAdama Kenema
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mebrat Hayl vs Adama Kenema: match review and analysis
Mebrat Hayl vs Adama Kenema in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mebrat Hayl recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Adama Kenema recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mebrat Hayl | Adama Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mebrat Hayl: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Adama Kenema: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mebrat Hayl recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidama BunnaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Awassa KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Welayta DichaPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mekelle KenemaPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ethiopia Nigd BankPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dire Dawa KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fasil KetemaPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Suhul ShirePremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MekelakeyaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mebrat Hayl’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Adama Kenema recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awassa KenemaPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Welayta DichaPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mekelle KenemaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ethiopia Nigd BankPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sidama BunnaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fasil KetemaPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Suhul ShirePremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| MekelakeyaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dire Dawa KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Adama Kenema’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mebrat Hayl are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Adama Kenema are ranked 10 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kedus Giorgis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Awassa Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mebrat Hayl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mekelakeya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ethiopian Medhin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Sidama Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Welayta Dicha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Adama Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fasil Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bahardar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hosaena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Gamo Chencha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Halaba Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Negelle Arsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Sheger Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.