Liga 3 · Regular Season - 23
Merani TbilisivsIveria Khashuri
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri: match review and analysis
Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri in Liga 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Merani Tbilisi recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 18. Iveria Khashuri recorded 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Merani Tbilisi | Iveria Khashuri |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Merani Tbilisi: (2.20 weighted goals scored + 2.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Iveria Khashuri: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Merani Tbilisi recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 2010Liga 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Kolkheti KhobiLiga 3 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Margveti 2006Liga 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GardabaniLiga 3 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| BetlemiLiga 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GuriaLiga 3 | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Didube 2014Liga 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GuriaDavid Kipiani Cup | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| IraoLiga 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WIT GeorgiaLiga 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Merani Tbilisi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Iveria Khashuri recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Didube 2014Liga 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IraoLiga 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| WIT GeorgiaLiga 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VarketiliLiga 3 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Dinamo Tbilisi IILiga 3 | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| GonioLiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC Iberia 1999 IILiga 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Torpedo KutaisiDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BetlemiDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Lokomotivi TbilisiLiga 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Iveria Khashuri’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Merani Tbilisi are ranked 4 in Liga 3, with 39 points from 22 games.
Iveria Khashuri are ranked 14 in Liga 3, with 13 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 63 | 11 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Varketili | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 14 | 40 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 II | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Irao | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 34 |
| 8 | Didube 2014 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Margveti 2006 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 21 |
| 13 | Gardabani | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 53 | -35 | 16 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 13 |
| 15 | Betlemi | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 54 | -41 | 13 |
| 16 | Iberia 2010 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 56 | -38 | 11 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.