Azadegan League · Regular Season - 5
FULL-TIME
Mes Kerman0–1Mes Rafsanjan
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Azadegan League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan: match review and analysis
Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan in Azadegan League on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mes Kerman recorded 0 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Mes Rafsanjan recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 5 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mes Kerman | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mes Kerman: (0.43 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mes Rafsanjan: (0.56 weighted goals scored + 0.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mes Kerman recent form
0.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mes SoongounAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SaipaAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fard AlborzAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sanat NaftAzadegan League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shahrdari NoshahrAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pars Jonoubi JAMAzadegan League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HavadarAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Naft GachsaranAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mes Kerman’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mes Rafsanjan recent form
0.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes SoongounAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HavadarAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mes Rafsanjan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Azadegan League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mes Rafsanjan are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 5 games.
Mes Kerman are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Mes Rafsanjan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Saipa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Ario Eslamshahr | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Fard Alborz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mes Soongoun | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Mes Kerman | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Havadar | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.