Second League - Group 3 · Group 3 - 26
Metallurg Lipetsk2–0Zenit Penza
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 3
- Venue
- Stadion Metallurg
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Zenit Penza: match review and analysis
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Zenit Penza in Second League - Group 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Metallurg Lipetsk recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Zenit Penza recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Metallurg Lipetsk | Zenit Penza |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Metallurg Lipetsk: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Zenit Penza: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Metallurg Lipetsk recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| StroginoSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SKA Khabarovsk IISecond League - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ShumbratSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FK Spartak TambovSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Avangard KurskSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Volna NizhegorodskayaSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MuromCup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RyazanSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rotor-2Second League - Group 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Metallurg Lipetsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Zenit Penza recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RyazanSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Saturn RamenskoyeSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| StroginoSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SKA Khabarovsk IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ShumbratSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FK Spartak TambovSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Avangard KurskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Volna NizhegorodskayaSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SKA RostovCup | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Zenit Penza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Metallurg Lipetsk are ranked 7 in Central, with 38 points from 22 games.
Zenit Penza are ranked 12 in Central, with 23 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 12 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.