Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 21
Miramar1–0Paysandu
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Parque Palermo
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Miramar vs Paysandu: match review and analysis
Miramar vs Paysandu in Segunda División on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Miramar recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Paysandu recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Miramar | Paysandu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Miramar: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Paysandu: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Miramar recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC 2National League - National | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sportivo HuracanSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Napier City RoversNational League - National | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Uruguay MontevideoSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OrientalSegunda División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ColónSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FenixSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RentistasSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CA River PlateSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TacuaremboSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Miramar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Paysandu recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TacuaremboSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Plaza ColoniaSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| La LuzSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CerritoSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AtenasSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CA River PlateSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sportivo HuracanSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Uruguay MontevideoSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OrientalSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ColónSegunda División | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Paysandu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Miramar are ranked 10 in 1st Phase, with 5 points from 6 games.
Paysandu are ranked 11 in 1st Phase, with 4 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
Paysandu are ranked 11 in 2nd Phase, with 25 points from 21 games.
Miramar are ranked 12 in 2nd Phase, with 25 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Rentistas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 33 |
| 3 | Oriental | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Colón | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 30 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.