Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Group 8 - 5
Mirandés II1–2Burgos Promesas
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas: match review and analysis
Mirandés II vs Burgos Promesas in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mirandés II recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Burgos Promesas recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mirandés II | Burgos Promesas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mirandés II: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 0.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Burgos Promesas: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mirandés II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cultural Leonesa IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Unionistas IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mirandés II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Burgos Promesas recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real Valladolid IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo La Coruña IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| LealtadSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Burgos Promesas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Burgos Promesas are ranked 1 in Tercera: Group 8, with 13 points from 5 games.
Mirandés II are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 8, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos Promesas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Atlético Mansillés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cristo Atlético | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cultural Leonesa II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazán | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Turégano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandés II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.