J-League Cup · Round of 32
Mito HollyhockvsFC Tokyo
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J-League Cup
- Venue
- Best Denki Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo: match review and analysis
Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo in J-League Cup on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mito Hollyhock recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 12. FC Tokyo recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, with 26 scored and 1 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mito Hollyhock | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 1 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mito Hollyhock: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 0.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Tokyo: (2.48 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mito Hollyhock recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fukushima UnitedJ-League Cup | Away | 7–0 | Won | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Parceiro NaganoJ-League Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Avispa FukuokaJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KashimaJ1 League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kyoto Sangyo UniversityEmperor Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mito Hollyhock’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Tokyo recent form
2.60 goals scored and 0.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UrawaJ1 League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Shonan BellmareEmperor Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Ehime FCJ-League Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nagoya GrampusJ1 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Parceiro NaganoEmperor Cup | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Tokyo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J-League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.