J1 League · Regular Season - 9
Mito HollyhockvsShimizu S-pulse
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J1 League
- Venue
- K's Denki Stadium Mito
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse: match review and analysis
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse in J1 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mito Hollyhock recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Shimizu S-pulse recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mito Hollyhock | Shimizu S-pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mito Hollyhock: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shimizu S-pulse: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mito Hollyhock recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima UnitedJ-League Cup | Away | 7–0 | Won | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Parceiro NaganoJ-League Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Avispa FukuokaJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KashimaJ1 League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kyoto Sangyo UniversityEmperor Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mito Hollyhock’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shimizu S-pulse recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V-varen NagasakiEmperor Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KanazawaJ-League Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Avispa FukuokaJ1 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OsakaEmperor Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cerezo OsakaJ1 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Shimizu S-pulse’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J1 League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shimizu S-pulse are ranked 12 in J-League, with 10 points from 8 games.
Mito Hollyhock are ranked 13 in J-League, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.