Premier League · Regular Season - 16
ML VitebskvsTorpedo Zhodino
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Tikhinichi Sportcomplex
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino: match review and analysis
ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino in Premier League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
ML Vitebsk recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Torpedo Zhodino recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | ML Vitebsk | Torpedo Zhodino |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
ML Vitebsk: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 2.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Torpedo Zhodino: (0.84 weighted goals scored + 0.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
ML Vitebsk recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC GomelPremier League | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| ArsenalPremier League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| FC Dnepr MogilevPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo MinskPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BelshinaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo BrestPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bate BorisovPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BaranovichiPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from ML Vitebsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Torpedo Zhodino recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC MinskPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Torpedo MoskvaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC VitebskPremier League | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| NemanPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC GomelPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ArsenalPremier League | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| FC Dnepr MogilevPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dinamo MinskPremier League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Dinamo BrestPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC Dnepr MogilevCoppa | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Torpedo Zhodino’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
ML Vitebsk are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 47 points from 22 games.
Torpedo Zhodino are ranked 9 in Premier League, with 30 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 47 |
| 2 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Neman | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | Bate Borisov | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 55 | -31 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.