First NL · Regular Season - 8
Mladost ŽdralovivsHNK Cibalia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First NL
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia: match review and analysis
Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia in First NL on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mladost Ždralovi recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 9. HNK Cibalia recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 8 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mladost Ždralovi | HNK Cibalia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mladost Ždralovi: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
HNK Cibalia: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mladost Ždralovi recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb U21First NL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Segesta SisakFirst NL | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Karlovac 1919First NL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Orijent 1919Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| DugopoljeFirst NL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SesveteFirst NL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KustosijaFirst NL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VukovarFirst NL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Varteks VaraždinFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| HNK CibaliaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mladost Ždralovi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
HNK Cibalia recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DugopoljeFirst NL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SesveteFirst NL | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| KustosijaFirst NL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VukovarCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VukovarFirst NL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Orijent 1919First NL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bsk Bijelo BrdoFirst NL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dubrava ZagrebFirst NL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mladost ŽdraloviFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NK OsijekFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from HNK Cibalia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First NL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
HNK Cibalia are ranked 3 in 2 HNL, with 13 points from 7 games.
Mladost Ždralovi are ranked 6 in 2 HNL, with 11 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran LP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia Zmijavci | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | HNK Cibalia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Segesta Sisak | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Mladost Ždralovi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Sesvete | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Dugopolje | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dubrava Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Karlovac 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Orijent 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Vukovar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Opatija | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Hrvace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Kustosija | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.