Premier League · Regular Season - 3
Mohammedan DhakavsArambagh
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mohammedan Dhaka vs Arambagh: match review and analysis
Mohammedan Dhaka vs Arambagh in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Mohammedan Dhaka recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Arambagh recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mohammedan Dhaka | Arambagh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mohammedan Dhaka: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 2.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Arambagh: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mohammedan Dhaka recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArambaghFederation Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| FakirerpoolPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Brothers UnionPremier League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Bashundhara KingsFederation Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rahmatgonj MFSPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Brothers UnionFederation Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArambaghPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rahmatgonj MFSFederation Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Bashundhara KingsPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PWD Sports ClubPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mohammedan Dhaka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Arambagh recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammedan DhakaFederation Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Rahmatgonj MFSPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bashundhara KingsPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AbahaniPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Bangladesh PolicePremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mohammedan DhakaPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Brothers UnionPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rahmatgonj MFSPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mohammedan DhakaFederation Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| FortisPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Arambagh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mohammedan Dhaka are ranked 5 in B League, with 23 points from 18 games.
Arambagh are ranked 9 in B League, with 14 points from 18 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bashundhara Kings | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 18 | 24 | 41 |
| 2 | Abahani | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| 3 | Fortis | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Bangladesh Police | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
| 7 | Brothers Union | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
| 8 | PWD Sports Club | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
| 9 | Arambagh | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 14 |
| 10 | Fakirerpool | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 44 | -31 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.