Segunda División · Promotion Group - 2
Molinos El Pirata2–0Ayacucho FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC: match review and analysis
Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC in Segunda División on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Molinos El Pirata recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Ayacucho FC recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 16 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Molinos El Pirata | Ayacucho FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Molinos El Pirata: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 2.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ayacucho FC: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 2.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Molinos El Pirata recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union ComercioSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo LlacuabambaSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Carlos A. MannucciSegunda División | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Academia CantolaoSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Union ComercioSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cesar VallejoSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportiva AgropecuariaSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| U. San MartinSegunda División | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Alianza AtleticoCopa De La Liga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Atletico GrauCopa De La Liga | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Molinos El Pirata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ayacucho FC recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MinasSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ComerciantesSegunda División | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Deportivo BinacionalSegunda División | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| MinasSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Estudiantil CNISegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bentín Tacna HeroicaSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SantosSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Alianza UniversidadSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SantosCopa De La Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ayacucho FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Molinos El Pirata are ranked 4 in Segunda División, with 25 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 28 |
| 4 | Molinos El Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Academia Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 44 | -43 | 0 |
Ayacucho FC are ranked 7 in Segunda División, with 19 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bentín Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Alianza Universidad | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 | Ayacucho FC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 49 | -39 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.