FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Mombasa ElitevsHomeboyz
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FKF Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz: match review and analysis
Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz in FKF Premier League on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Mombasa Elite recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Homeboyz recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mombasa Elite | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mombasa Elite: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Homeboyz: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mombasa Elite recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kariobangi SharksFKF Premier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NaivasSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nzoia SugarSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Luanda VillaSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 3KSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mwatate UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nairobi City StarsSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TalantaSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Migori YouthSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gucha StarsSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mombasa Elite’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Homeboyz recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PoliceFKF Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kariobangi SharksFKF Premier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AFC LeopardsFKF Premier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Murang'a SEALFKF Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GOR MahiaFKF Premier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KCBFKF Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ShabanaFKF Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ulinzi StarsShield Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Mathare UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Homeboyz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FKF Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Homeboyz are ranked 14 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Mombasa Elite are ranked 16 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Shabana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Mara Sugar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Nairobi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | 3K | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Migori Youth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Mathare United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Ulinzi Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.