Primera División · Clausura - 12
Monagas SCvsEstudiantes de Merida FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Monagas SC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: match review and analysis
Monagas SC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC in Primera División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Monagas SC recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Estudiantes de Merida FC recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Monagas SC | Estudiantes de Merida FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Monagas SC: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Estudiantes de Merida FC: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Monagas SC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de GuyanaCopa Venezuela | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rayo ZulianoPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Zamora FCPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Caracas FCPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BolívarCopa Venezuela | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Metropolitanos FCPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Anzoátegui FCPrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Trujillanos FCPrimera División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BolívarCopa Venezuela | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Portuguesa FCPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Monagas SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Estudiantes de Merida FC recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos FCPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Portuguesa FCPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo Tachira FCPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Carabobo FCPrimera División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UCVPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo La GuairaPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Puerto CabelloPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Anzoátegui FCPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rayo ZulianoPrimera División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Zamora FCPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Estudiantes de Merida FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Estudiantes de Merida FC are ranked 8 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 36 points from 24 games.
Monagas SC are ranked 10 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 25 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 43 |
| 4 | UCV | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 38 |
| 5 | Carabobo FC | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Portuguesa FC | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 37 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 25 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 15 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 14 |
Estudiantes de Merida FC are ranked 6 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 20 points from 13 games.
Monagas SC are ranked 12 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 11 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | UCV | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 4 |
Estudiantes de Merida FC are ranked 4 in Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 3 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Portuguesa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 | UCV | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
Estudiantes de Merida FC are ranked 7 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 16 points from 11 games.
Monagas SC are ranked 9 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 14 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | UCV | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas SC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.