Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 6
Montecchio Gallo0–1Notaresco
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 5 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone F
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Montecchio Gallo vs Notaresco: match review and analysis
Montecchio Gallo vs Notaresco in Serie D - Girone F on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Montecchio Gallo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Notaresco recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Montecchio Gallo | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Montecchio Gallo: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Notaresco: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
Montecchio Gallo recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 3 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foligno CalcioSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RecanateseSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PietralungaSerie D - Girone F | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AnconaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SantegidieseSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Montecchio Gallo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Notaresco recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PietralungaSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Foligno CalcioSerie D - Girone F | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SantegidieseSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TeramoSerie D - Girone F | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AnconaSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TeramoSerie D - Girone F | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AnconaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AnconaSerie D - Girone F | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Victor San MarinoSerie D - Girone F | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Termoli CalcioSerie D - Girone F | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Notaresco’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone F — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Notaresco are ranked 7 in Serie D: Group F, with 8 points from 6 games.
Montecchio Gallo are ranked 8 in Serie D: Group F, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | Teramo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Ancona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Fossombrone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Notaresco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Montecchio Gallo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Santegidiese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Atletico Ascoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Angelana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sporting Trestina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.