J2 League · Regular Season - 10
Montedio YamagatavsVegalta Sendai
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- ND Soft Stadium Yamagata
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai: match review and analysis
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai in J2 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Montedio Yamagata recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Vegalta Sendai recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Montedio Yamagata | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Montedio Yamagata: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vegalta Sendai: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Montedio Yamagata recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ-League Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sagan TosuJ2 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kataller ToyamaJ2 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Albirex NiigataJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tochigi SCJ-League Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCEmperor Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Montedio Yamagata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vegalta Sendai recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Consadole SapporoJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fukushima UnitedJ-League Cup | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityEmperor Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Vegalta Sendai’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vegalta Sendai are ranked 1 in J2 League, with 20 points from 9 games.
Montedio Yamagata are ranked 10 in J2 League, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.