Montenegro U190–1Israel U19

Real Scored match analysis

Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19: match review and analysis

Montenegro U19 vs Israel U19 in Friendlies on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.

Montenegro U19 recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Israel U19 recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Montenegro U19: (0.65 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Israel U19: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.