UEFA Nations League · League C - 4
Montenegro0–0Armenia
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League
- Venue
- Gradski Stadion
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
No goals in the latest saved events.
Cards
- 57′Ognjen GaševićYellow CardMontenegroFoul
- 80′Karlen HovhannisyanYellow CardArmeniaFoul
- 86′Stefan LončarRed CardMontenegroFoul
- 90+1′Eduard SpertsyanYellow CardArmeniaFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Montenegro
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Robert Prosinečki
Starting XI
- 1B. PopovicG
- 2M. RoganovicD
- 4A. DjuricD
- 15S. SavicD
- 16O. GasevicD
- 8M. JankovicM
- 21A. BulatovicM
- 17V. AdzicM
- 19V. DjukanovicF
- 9N. KrstovicF
- 20M. OsmajicF
Substitutes
- 12D. PetkovicG
- 13I. NikicG
- 7M. VesovicD
- 5I. VujacicD
- 14J. DresajD
- 6S. RubezicD
- 3R. RadunovicD
- 22S. LoncarM
- 18D. VukanicM
- 11M. SimunM
- 10S. JoveticF
- 23D. VukovicF
Armenia
Starting XI
- 12A. BeglaryanG
- 3E. PiloyanD
- 22E. SimonyanD
- 4G. HarutyunyanD
- 21N. TiknizyanD
- 6U. IwuM
- 8K. HovhannisyanM
- 9A. SerobyanM
- 14G. ManvelyanM
- 7N. HovhannisyanM
- 18A. MiranyanF
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Montenegro vs Armenia: match review and analysis
Montenegro vs Armenia in UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Montenegro recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Armenia recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Montenegro | Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Montenegro: (2.03 weighted goals scored + 2.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Armenia: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Montenegro recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LatviaUEFA Nations League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArmeniaUEFA Nations League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| CyprusUEFA Nations League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SlovakiaFriendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BulgariaFriendlies | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SloveniaFriendlies | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AndorraFriendlies | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CroatiaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| GibraltarWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LiechtensteinFriendlies | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Montenegro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Armenia recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CyprusUEFA Nations League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MontenegroUEFA Nations League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LatviaUEFA Nations League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MoldovaFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KazakhstanFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BelarusFriendlies | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PortugalWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–9 | Lost | |
| HungaryWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rep. Of IrelandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HungaryWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Armenia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Nations League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | FYR Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 0 |
Montenegro are ranked 1 in League C - Group B, with 10 points from 4 games.
Armenia are ranked 3 in League C - Group B, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.