Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8
MontpelliervsGrenoble
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue 2
- Venue
- Stade de la Mosson
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Montpellier vs Grenoble: match review and analysis
Montpellier vs Grenoble in Ligue 2 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Montpellier recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Grenoble recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Montpellier | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Montpellier: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Grenoble: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Montpellier recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReimsLigue 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PAULigue 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Saint EtienneLigue 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BoulogneLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DunkerqueLigue 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| NancyLigue 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| DijonLigue 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RodezFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Clermont FootFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CannesFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Montpellier’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Grenoble recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-OuchyFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Clermont FootLigue 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RodezLigue 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AnnecyLigue 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LavalLigue 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Saint EtienneLigue 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| MetzLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DunkerqueLigue 2 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AndrézieuxFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Clermont FootFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Grenoble’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Montpellier are ranked 4 in Ligue 2, with 12 points from 7 games.
Grenoble are ranked 13 in Ligue 2, with 8 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | RED Star FC 93 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Nancy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Annecy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | PAU | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Laval | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.