CONCACAF Nations League · League C - 1
Montserrat4–1Turks and Caicos Islands
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- TCIFA National Academy
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands: match review and analysis
Montserrat vs Turks and Caicos Islands in CONCACAF Nations League on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Montserrat recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Turks and Caicos Islands recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Montserrat | Turks and Caicos Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Montserrat: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Turks and Caicos Islands: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Montserrat recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| British Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| British Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Turks and Caicos IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GuyanaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BelizeWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| El SalvadorCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| St. Vincent / GrenadinesCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BonaireCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BonaireCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| St. Vincent / GrenadinesCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Montserrat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Turks and Caicos Islands recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| British Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| British Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| MontserratCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| US Virgin IslandsFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BelizeCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AnguillaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BelizeCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| AnguillaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AnguillaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AnguillaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Turks and Caicos Islands’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.