First League · Regular Season - 10
Mornar3–3Jezero
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Stadion Topolica
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–3
- 90-minute score
- 3–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mornar vs Jezero: match review and analysis
Mornar vs Jezero in First League on 8 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Mornar recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Jezero recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mornar | Jezero |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mornar: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 2.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jezero: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mornar recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DGFriendlies Clubs | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| DečićFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Otrant-OlympicFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SutjeskaFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BokeljFirst League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PetrovacFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Buducnost PodgoricaFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mladost DGFirst League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Arsenal TivatFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| JezeroFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mornar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jezero recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otrant-OlympicFirst League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BokeljFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Buducnost PodgoricaFirst League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Arsenal TivatFirst League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| DečićFirst League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SutjeskaFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PetrovacFirst League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mladost DGFirst League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MornarFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IskraFirst League | Away | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Jezero’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mornar are ranked 6 in Prva Liga, with 13 points from 9 games.
Jezero are ranked 8 in Prva Liga, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Dečić | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Bokelj | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Buducnost Podgorica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Sutjeska | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Mornar | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 8 | Jezero | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
| 9 | Petrovac | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.