Iraqi League · Regular Season - 9
Mosul0–3Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Iraqi League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–3
- 90-minute score
- 0–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya: match review and analysis
Mosul vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya in Iraqi League on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mosul recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Al Quwa Al Jawiya recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mosul | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mosul: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mosul recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NaftIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ZakhoIraqi League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al Zawra'aIraqi League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KarbalaIraqi League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-KarmaIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mosul’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Quwa Al Jawiya recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NeftchiAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al Zawra'aIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KarbalaIraqi League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| DuhokIraqi League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ghaz Al ShamalIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ErbilIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| ZakhoIraqi League | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Quwa Al Jawiya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Iraqi League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya are ranked 7 in Iraqi League, with 11 points from 9 games.
Mosul are ranked 14 in Iraqi League, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.