Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11
Motor LublinvsSlask Wroclaw
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ekstraklasa
- Venue
- Motor Lublin Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw: match review and analysis
Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw in Ekstraklasa on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Motor Lublin recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Slask Wroclaw recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Motor Lublin | Slask Wroclaw |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Motor Lublin: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 2.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Slask Wroclaw: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Motor Lublin recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Legia WarszawaCup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Korona KielceEkstraklasa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JagielloniaEkstraklasa | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Motor Lublin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Slask Wroclaw recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech PoznanEkstraklasa | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Slovan LiberecFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Korona KielceEkstraklasa | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| JagielloniaEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pogon SzczecinCup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Slask Wroclaw’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ekstraklasa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Motor Lublin are ranked 14 in Ekstraklasa, with 9 points from 10 games.
Slask Wroclaw are ranked 17 in Ekstraklasa, with 6 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.