Championship · Regular Season - 10
Moyola Park0–3Glenavon FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–3
- 90-minute score
- 0–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC: match review and analysis
Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC in Championship on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Moyola Park recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Glenavon FC recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 23 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Moyola Park | Glenavon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Moyola Park: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Glenavon FC: (2.28 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Moyola Park recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's UniversityChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ArdsChampionship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Warrenpoint TownChampionship | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| H&W WeldersChampionship | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Armagh CityChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Annagh UnitedChampionship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Strabane AthleticChampionship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| DundelaChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dungannon SwiftsFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Moyola Park’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Glenavon FC recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoughgallChampionship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Newington YouthChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DundelaChampionship | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| RathfrilandChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Armagh CityChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Strabane AthleticChampionship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Newry City AFCChampionship | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| ArdsChampionship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ballymena UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Glenavon FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Glenavon FC are ranked 2 in Championship 1, with 20 points from 10 games.
Moyola Park are ranked 13 in Championship 1, with 11 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh United | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Newington Youth | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Queen's University | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | Institute | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | H&W Welders | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Loughgall | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Ards | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Dundela | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.