NB III - Southwest · Southwest - 11
MTK Budapest IIvsÉrdi VSE
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NB III - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
MTK Budapest II vs Érdi VSE: match review and analysis
MTK Budapest II vs Érdi VSE in NB III - Southwest on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
MTK Budapest II recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 15. Érdi VSE recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 21 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | MTK Budapest II | Érdi VSE |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
MTK Budapest II: (2.47 weighted goals scored + 2.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Érdi VSE: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
MTK Budapest II recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencváros IINB III - Southwest | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pécsi MFCNB III - Southwest | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dunaharaszti MTKNB III - Southwest | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Paksi SE IINB III - Southwest | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| BudaörsNB III - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SiofokNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SzekszárdNB III - Southwest | Home | 8–0 | Won | |
| Budafoki LCNB III - Southwest | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Nagykanizsai ULENB III - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dunaujvaros FCNB III - Southwest | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from MTK Budapest II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Érdi VSE recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KaposvarNB III - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| IváncsaNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| SárbogárdNB III - Southwest | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Ferencváros IINB III - Southwest | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| MajosiNB III - Southwest | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Pécsi MFCNB III - Southwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IváncsaMagyar Kupa | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dunaharaszti MTKNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Paksi SE IINB III - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| BudaörsNB III - Southwest | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Érdi VSE’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NB III - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
MTK Budapest II are ranked 10 in Southwest, with 12 points from 8 games.
Érdi VSE are ranked 11 in Southwest, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 26 | 28 |
| 2 | Kaposvar | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | PTE-PEAC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Budafoki LC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Ferencváros II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Iváncsa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Siofok | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Majosi | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest II | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 12 |
| 11 | Érdi VSE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Budaörs | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 5 |
| 15 | Szekszárd | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 38 | -34 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.