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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

NAC BredavsMVV

Real Scored · Match preview

Match prediction · 9 October 2026

Not Started

THE PREDICTION

Our match outlook

Over 1.5 goals

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

Prediction saved Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 14:27 UTC

Match information

Competition: Eerste Divisie
Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion
Status: Not Started
Score: Not started
90-minute score: —
Last updated: Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 14:22 UTC

Goals and cards

Goals

Match events are not yet available.

Cards

Match events are not yet available.

Lineups

Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.

Real Scored match analysis

NAC Breda vs MVV: match review and analysis

NAC Breda vs MVV in Eerste Divisie on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.

NAC Breda recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 20. MVV recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
Statistic	NAC Breda	MVV
Games	10	10
Wins	4	5
Draws	2	1
Losses	4	4
Goals scored	19	13
Goals conceded	20	25
Over 1.5 games	9	9

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

NAC Breda: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 2.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

MVV: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6

NAC Breda 2.56

MVV 1.67

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results and goal trends

LAST 10 GAMES

NAC Breda recent form

4Wins

2Draws

4Losses

19Goals scored

20Goals conceded

0Clean sheets

1.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals

Recent results before this match · newest first
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
Sat, 3 Oct 2026 UTC	VitesseEerste Divisie	Away	2–2	Draw
Sat, 26 Sep 2026 UTC	FC EindhovenEerste Divisie	Home	4–2	Won
Sun, 20 Sep 2026 UTC	De GraafschapEerste Divisie	Away	2–1	Won
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 UTC	Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie	Home	2–3	Lost
Fri, 4 Sep 2026 UTC	WaalwijkEerste Divisie	Away	2–4	Lost
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 UTC	RodaEerste Divisie	Away	2–2	Draw
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 UTC	Jong AjaxEerste Divisie	Home	3–2	Won
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 UTC	VVV VenloEerste Divisie	Home	0–2	Lost
Fri, 7 Aug 2026 UTC	FC OSSEerste Divisie	Away	2–1	Won
Sat, 1 Aug 2026 UTC	BoltonFriendlies Clubs	Away	0–1	Lost

Scores shown from NAC Breda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

MVV recent form

5Wins

1Draws

4Losses

13Goals scored

25Goals conceded

2Clean sheets

1.30 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals

Recent results before this match · newest first
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
Sat, 3 Oct 2026 UTC	FC OSSEerste Divisie	Away	1–4	Lost
Sat, 26 Sep 2026 UTC	Helmond SportEerste Divisie	Home	2–0	Won
Fri, 18 Sep 2026 UTC	WaalwijkEerste Divisie	Away	1–6	Lost
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 UTC	Almere City FCEerste Divisie	Home	0–4	Lost
Sun, 6 Sep 2026 UTC	RodaEerste Divisie	Home	1–1	Draw
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 UTC	Jong AZEerste Divisie	Away	2–1	Won
Tue, 25 Aug 2026 UTC	KRC Genk IIFriendlies Clubs	Away	0–6	Lost
Fri, 21 Aug 2026 UTC	FC VolendamEerste Divisie	Home	1–0	Won
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 UTC	FC EindhovenEerste Divisie	Away	3–2	Won
Sun, 9 Aug 2026 UTC	Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie	Home	2–1	Won

Scores shown from MVV’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LEAGUE CONTEXT

Eerste Divisie — current table

Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 14:28 UTC. Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.

MVV are ranked 5 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 16 points from 9 games.

NAC Breda are ranked 9 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 14 points from 9 games.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28	12	16	22
2	Almere City FC	9	6	1	2	19	7	12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	23	14	9	18
4	Emmen	9	5	1	3	19	18	1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	13	19	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	9	7	2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	19	12	7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15	13	2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19	19	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22	17	5	13
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20	17	3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	15	19	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	12	14	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	13	18	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13	22	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
19	De Graafschap	9	2	2	5	11	22	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15	21	-6	7

MVV are ranked 5 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 16 points from 9 games.

NAC Breda are ranked 9 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 14 points from 9 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28	12	16	22
2	Almere City FC	9	6	1	2	19	7	12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	23	14	9	18
4	Emmen	9	5	1	3	19	18	1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	13	19	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	9	7	2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	19	12	7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15	13	2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19	19	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22	17	5	13
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20	17	3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	15	19	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	12	14	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	13	18	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13	22	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
19	De Graafschap	9	2	2	5	11	22	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15	21	-6	7

MVV are ranked 8 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.

NAC Breda are ranked 13 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

MVV are ranked 8 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.

NAC Breda are ranked 13 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

MVV are ranked 8 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.

NAC Breda are ranked 13 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.