Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 14
Results
Nacional AsuncionvsDeportivo Recoleta
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division Profesional - Clausura
- Venue
- Estádio Arsenio Erico
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: match review and analysis
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta in Division Profesional - Clausura on 12 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Nacional Asuncion recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 5. Deportivo Recoleta recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 10 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nacional Asuncion | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nacional Asuncion: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Recoleta: (0.87 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nacional Asuncion recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Independiente F.b.c.Copa Paraguay | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Benjamín AcevalCopa Paraguay | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Nacional Asuncion’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Recoleta recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Guairena FCCopa Paraguay | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo SantaniCopa Paraguay | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Deportivo Recoleta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division Profesional - Clausura — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nacional Asuncion are ranked 5 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 23 points from 13 games.
Deportivo Recoleta are ranked 11 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 8 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.