Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Södra Svealand - 24
Nacka Iliria1–4Karlslund
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division 2 - Södra Svealand
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund: match review and analysis
Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund in Division 2 - Södra Svealand on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Nacka Iliria recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Karlslund recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nacka Iliria | Karlslund |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nacka Iliria: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Karlslund: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nacka Iliria recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FittjaDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| RågsvedDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SleipnerDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SmedbyDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FarstaDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ForwardDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Örebro SyrianskaDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Eker ÖrebroDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Lindo FFDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NyköpingDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nacka Iliria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Karlslund recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ForwardDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FarstaDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Örebro SyrianskaDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Eker ÖrebroDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Syrianska FCDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Lindo FFDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HaningeDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| SmedbyDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SleipnerDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FittjaDivision 2 - Södra Svealand | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Karlslund’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division 2 - Södra Svealand — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Karlslund are ranked 9 in South Svealand, with 31 points from 24 games.
Nacka Iliria are ranked 12 in South Svealand, with 24 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farsta | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Sleipner | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Forward | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nyköping | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | Haninge | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rågsved | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 | Smedby | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Fittja | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlslund | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Örebro Syrianska | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 |
| 11 | Syrianska FC | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | Nacka Iliria | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 | Lindo FF | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Eker Örebro | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 71 | -42 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.