Azadegan League · Regular Season - 4
Naft Gachsaran1–1Novin Ahvaz
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 3 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Azadegan League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Naft Gachsaran vs Novin Ahvaz: match review and analysis
Naft Gachsaran vs Novin Ahvaz in Azadegan League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Naft Gachsaran recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 16. Novin Ahvaz recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 4 scored and 5 conceded across 3 games.
| Statistic | Naft Gachsaran | Novin Ahvaz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 3 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Naft Gachsaran: (0.28 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Novin Ahvaz: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Naft Gachsaran recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HavadarAzadegan League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Mes SoongounAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nassaji MazandaranAzadegan League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Shenavarsazi QeshmAzadegan League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Naft Gachsaran’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 3 GAMES
Novin Ahvaz recent form
1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. 2 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shahin Bandar AmeriAzadegan League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Shenavarsazi QeshmAzadegan League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Novin Ahvaz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Azadegan League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Novin Ahvaz are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 4 games.
Naft Gachsaran are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saipa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Mes Rafsanjan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ario Eslamshahr | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Fard Alborz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Niroye Zamini | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mes Kerman | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Naft Gachsaran | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Havadar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.