Iraqi League · Regular Season - 9
Naft Maysan1–1Erbil
Real Scored · Live match
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
Second Half
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Iraqi League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Second Half
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Naft Maysan vs Erbil: match review and analysis
Naft Maysan vs Erbil in Iraqi League on 8 October 2026 is in progress. The latest saved score is 1–1. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Naft Maysan recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Erbil recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 17 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Naft Maysan | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Naft Maysan: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 0.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Erbil: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Naft Maysan recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al KarkhIraqi League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Al TalabaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NewrozIraqi League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al Zawra'aIraqi League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| NaftIraqi League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Jolan SCIraqi League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GharrafIraqi League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Naft Maysan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Erbil recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KarbalaIraqi League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Al-KarmaIraqi League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al KarkhIraqi League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al KahrabaaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BaghdadIraqi League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ZakhoIraqi League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Erbil’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Iraqi League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Erbil are ranked 3 in Iraqi League, with 17 points from 8 games.
Naft Maysan are ranked 18 in Iraqi League, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Al-Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.