J-League Cup · Round of 32
Nagoya GrampusvsFagiano Okayama
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J-League Cup
- Venue
- Toyota Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: match review and analysis
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama in J-League Cup on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Nagoya Grampus recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Fagiano Okayama recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nagoya Grampus: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fagiano Okayama: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nagoya Grampus recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| KitakyushuJ-League Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gainare TottoriEmperor Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| KashimaJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nagoya Grampus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fagiano Okayama recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa FukuokaJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| JEF United ChibaEmperor Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Consadole SapporoJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UrawaJ1 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nagoya GrampusJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Beluga Rosso IwamiEmperor Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Fagiano Okayama’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J-League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.