National League - National · Championship Group - 3
Napier City RoversvsCashmere Technical
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - National
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical: match review and analysis
Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical in National League - National on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Napier City Rovers recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 29 and conceding 18. Cashmere Technical recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 43 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Napier City Rovers | Cashmere Technical |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 29 | 43 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Napier City Rovers: (2.69 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cashmere Technical: (4.63 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Napier City Rovers recent form
2.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland UnitedNational League - National | Away | 1–7 | Lost | |
| MiramarNational League - National | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cashmere TechnicalChatham Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hibiscus CoastChatham Cup | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| PetoneChatham Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Wellington OlympicNational League - Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PetoneNational League - Central | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| MiramarNational League - Central | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Waterside KaroriNational League - Central | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Island Bay UnitedNational League - Central | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Napier City Rovers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cashmere Technical recent form
4.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix IINational League - National | Home | 10–0 | Won | |
| Birkenhead UnitedNational League - National | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Fencibles UnitedChatham Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Napier City RoversChatham Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MiramarChatham Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dunedin City RoyalsChatham Cup | Away | 9–0 | Won | |
| Ferrymead BaysFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Selwyn UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Dunedin City RoyalsNational League - Southern | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| UniversitiesNational League - Southern | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cashmere Technical’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - National — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cashmere Technical are ranked 1 in First Division: Championship Group, with 6 points from 2 games.
Napier City Rovers are ranked 8 in First Division: Championship Group, with 1 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 6 |
| 2 | Auckland United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Miramar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ferrymead Bays | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Auckland City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Napier City Rovers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Auckland FC 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Birkenhead United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.