USL League One · Group Stage
Naples2–0Richmond Kickers
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- Paradise Coast Sports Complex
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Naples vs Richmond Kickers: match review and analysis
Naples vs Richmond Kickers in USL League One on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Naples recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Richmond Kickers recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 14 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Naples | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Naples: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 2.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Richmond Kickers: (1.50 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Naples recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AltaUSL League One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AltaUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Naples’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Richmond Kickers recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Richmond Kickers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Naples are ranked 9 in USL League One, with 37 points from 29 games.
Richmond Kickers are ranked 17 in USL League One, with 23 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.