Super League · Regular Season - 3
NAPSA StarsvsNkana
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana: match review and analysis
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana in Super League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
NAPSA Stars recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Nkana recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | NAPSA Stars | Nkana |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
NAPSA Stars: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nkana: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 0.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
NAPSA Stars recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TridentSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Man Utd Zambia AcademySuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Prison LeopardsFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ZanacoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mutondo StarsSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Konkola BladesSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ZanacoSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kabwe WarriorsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NkanaSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZESCO UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from NAPSA Stars’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nkana recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makeni All StarsSuper League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| TridentSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kansanshi DynamosSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Man Utd Zambia AcademySuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ZESCO UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nchanga RangersSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NAPSA StarsSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MinesSuper League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Power DynamosSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Red ArrowsSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nkana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nkana are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
NAPSA Stars are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zanaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZESCO United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nkana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kabwe Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Power Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Red Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Konkola Blades | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roan United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | NAPSA Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Green Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Trident | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mutondo Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Makeni All Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chirundu Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.