Esiliiga B · Regular Season - 32
Narva U21vsTartu Kalev
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Esiliiga B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev: match review and analysis
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev in Esiliiga B on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Narva U21 recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Tartu Kalev recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Narva U21 | Tartu Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Narva U21: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 2.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tartu Kalev: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 0.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Narva U21 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LegionEsiliiga B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tallinna Kalev IIEsiliiga B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LuunjaEsiliiga B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Levadia U19Esiliiga B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tartu KalevEsiliiga B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| JK TabasaluEsiliiga B | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| TulevikEsiliiga B | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Levadia U19Esiliiga B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Narva U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tartu Kalev recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levadia U19Esiliiga B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TulevikEsiliiga B | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21Esiliiga B | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| LegionEsiliiga B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Narva U21Esiliiga B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Tallinna Kalev IIEsiliiga B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LuunjaEsiliiga B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21Esiliiga B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tallinna KalevCup | Away | 0–8 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tartu Kalev’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Esiliiga B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Narva U21 are ranked 1 in Esiliiga B, with 66 points from 31 games.
Tartu Kalev are ranked 7 in Esiliiga B, with 47 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 72 | 36 | 36 | 66 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 80 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 3 | Phoenix | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 71 | 69 | 2 | 54 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 98 | 64 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | Tulevik | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 83 | 65 | 18 | 50 |
| 6 | Luunja | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 76 | 64 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 47 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 85 | -39 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 64 | 79 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | Legion | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 30 | 118 | -88 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.