NPFL · Regular Season - 8
Nasarawa UnitedvsDoma United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NPFL
- Venue
- Lafia Township Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nasarawa United vs Doma United: match review and analysis
Nasarawa United vs Doma United in NPFL on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Nasarawa United recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Doma United recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nasarawa United | Doma United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nasarawa United: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Doma United: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 0.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nasarawa United recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shooting StarsNPFL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Niger TornadoesNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kwara UnitedNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rivers UnitedNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Enugu RangersNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bendel InsuranceNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Barau FCNPFL | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ikorodu CityFederation Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Plateau UnitedFederation Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rivers UnitedFederation Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nasarawa United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Doma United recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warri WolvesNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Katsina UnitedNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Plateau UnitedNPFL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Kano PillarsNPFL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| EnyimbaNPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Inter LagosNPFL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting LagosNPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sunshine StarsNPFL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Katsina UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Doma United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NPFL — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Doma United are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 13 points from 7 games.
Nasarawa United are ranked 14 in Premier League, with 8 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Kwara United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting Stars | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifat FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.