Third League - Southeast · Southeast - 11
Neftochimic BurgasvsMaritsa Plovdiv
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southeast
- Venue
- efbet Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Neftochimic Burgas vs Maritsa Plovdiv: match review and analysis
Neftochimic Burgas vs Maritsa Plovdiv in Third League - Southeast on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Neftochimic Burgas recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Maritsa Plovdiv recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Neftochimic Burgas | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Neftochimic Burgas: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maritsa Plovdiv: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Neftochimic Burgas recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rozova dolinaThird League - Southeast | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sportist SvogeCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Yambol 1915Third League - Southeast | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIThird League - Southeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ZagoretsThird League - Southeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SozopolThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Levski KrumovgradThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Maritsa MilevoThird League - Southeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sekirovo RakovskiThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Botev Plovdiv IIThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Neftochimic Burgas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maritsa Plovdiv recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletik KuklenThird League - Southeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DimitrovgradThird League - Southeast | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Levski KarlovoThird League - Southeast | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rodopa SmolyanThird League - Southeast | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Spartak PlovdivThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gigant SaedinenieThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rozova dolinaThird League - Southeast | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yambol 1915Third League - Southeast | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ZagoretsThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Maritsa Plovdiv’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Neftochimic Burgas are ranked 7 in Southeast, with 16 points from 9 games.
Maritsa Plovdiv are ranked 17 in Southeast, with 5 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Krumovgrad | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Sayana Haskovo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 17 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Rodopa Smolyan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Sozopol | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Rozova dolina | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv II | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Zagorets | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
| 17 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.