EFL Trophy · Group South - 5
Newport County2–2Plymouth
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- EFL Trophy
- Venue
- Rodney Parade
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Newport County vs Plymouth: match review and analysis
Newport County vs Plymouth in EFL Trophy on 6 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 2–2, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Newport County recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Plymouth recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Newport County | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Newport County: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Plymouth: (2.27 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Newport County recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GillinghamLeague Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Swindon TownEFL Trophy | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Accrington STLeague Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fleetwood TownLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthamptonLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Salford CityLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| RochdaleLeague Two | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Newport County’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Plymouth recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton OrientLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Burton AlbionLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Crystal Palace U21EFL Trophy | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| BlackpoolLeague One | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| BarnsleyLeague One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DoncasterLeague One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| LeicesterLeague One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BradfordLeague One | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CoventryLeague Cup | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| WycombeLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Plymouth’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
EFL Trophy — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.