Championship · Regular Season - 11
Newry City AFCvsDundela
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- The Showgrounds
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Newry City AFC vs Dundela: match review and analysis
Newry City AFC vs Dundela in Championship on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Newry City AFC recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Dundela recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Newry City AFC | Dundela |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Newry City AFC: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dundela: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Newry City AFC recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoughgallChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| H&W WeldersChampionship | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Annagh UnitedChampionship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Strabane AthleticChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Armagh CityChampionship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| InstituteChampionship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Warrenpoint TownChampionship | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RathfrilandChampionship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Glenavon FCChampionship | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Newry City AFC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dundela recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's UniversityChampionship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Armagh CityChampionship | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Strabane AthleticChampionship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Newington YouthChampionship | Away | 5–5 | Draw | |
| Glenavon FCChampionship | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| H&W WeldersChampionship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ballinamallard UnitedChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Annagh UnitedChampionship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ArdsChampionship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Moyola ParkChampionship | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Dundela’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Newry City AFC are ranked 7 in Championship 1, with 15 points from 10 games.
Dundela are ranked 12 in Championship 1, with 11 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annagh United | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Newington Youth | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Queen's University | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | Institute | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | H&W Welders | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Loughgall | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Ards | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Dundela | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Moyola Park | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Armagh City | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.