CONCACAF Nations League · League A - 1
Nicaragua1–2Dominican Republic
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- Nicaragua National Football Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic: match review and analysis
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic in CONCACAF Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Nicaragua recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 28. Dominican Republic recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nicaragua | Dominican Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nicaragua: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 2.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dominican Republic: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 2.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nicaragua recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa RicaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CuraçaoCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Dominican RepublicCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ParaguayFriendlies | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| South AfricaFriendlies | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RussiaFriendlies | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HaitiWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HondurasWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Costa RicaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| HaitiWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nicaragua’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dominican Republic recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HaitiCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Trinidad and TobagoCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| NicaraguaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| PanamaFriendlies | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| CubaCONCACAF Series | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| El SalvadorCONCACAF Series | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MartiniqueCONCACAF Series | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| St. Vincent / GrenadinesCONCACAF Series | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| UruguayFriendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JordanFriendlies | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dominican Republic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.