Cup · Regions Path - Semi-finals
Nizhny NovgorodvsShinnik Yaroslavl
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Cup
- Venue
- Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: match review and analysis
Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl in Cup on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Nizhny Novgorod recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 30 and conceding 11. Shinnik Yaroslavl recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses, with 14 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nizhny Novgorod | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 30 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nizhny Novgorod: (3.45 weighted goals scored + 0.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shinnik Yaroslavl: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 0.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nizhny Novgorod recent form
3.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EniseyFirst League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| LeningradetsFirst League | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Torpedo MoskvaFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo StavropolCup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC SochiFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| VelesFirst League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TekstilshchikFirst League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Nizhny Novgorod’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shinnik Yaroslavl recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TekstilshchikFirst League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UralFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Torpedo MoskvaCup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| EniseyFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FK NeftekhimikFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Arsenal TulaFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Shinnik Yaroslavl’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.