HNL · Regular Season - 9
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvsNK Varazdin
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- HNL
- Venue
- Stadion Maksimir
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin: match review and analysis
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin in HNL on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 16. NK Varazdin recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 17 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: (1.63 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
NK Varazdin: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cuba U20Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RudesHNL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| NK OsijekHNL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HNK GoricaHNL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Istra 1961HNL | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Sturm Graz IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
NK Varazdin recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AluminijFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NK OsijekHNL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HNK GoricaHNL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ZagoraCup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Istra 1961HNL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RudesHNL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from NK Varazdin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
HNL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
NK Varazdin are ranked 4 in HNL, with 15 points from 8 games.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are ranked 7 in HNL, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.